The European curtain wall market is showing signs of stabilisation after a sharp decline in 2024. According to IC Market Forecast, in 2025 the fall is expected to reach only 0.5%, compared with a 5.8% drop the previous year. Analysts predict that from 2026 gradual recovery will begin, and by 2028 the market volume will reach €11.4 billion.
The market is positively influenced by the European Central Bank’s rate cuts and the strengthening of the euro. These measures improve access to financing for large construction projects, creating favourable conditions for the growth of new-build share. Forecasts suggest that in 2025 it will account for 71.4% of the total volume.
The six largest European markets – Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain and Poland – show mixed results. In 2024 the overall decline amounted to 3.3% (€7.05 billion), with the largest contractions in Germany (-4.0%) and Poland (-5.3%). At the same time, Spain stands out with 4.2% growth due to steady demand for residential and commercial properties.
Aluminium façade systems retain 81.9% of the market thanks to their versatility and lower cost. However, demand for timber structures is gradually increasing, as developers are more frequently opting for low-carbon footprint materials. A key trend is also the shift towards modular fixing systems, which ensure faster installation and optimise labour costs.
In the coming years, the market will receive additional support from commercial construction and the development of office and mixed-use projects. It is expected that between 2025 and 2028 the average annual growth rate will be around 5%, with curtain walls remaining a popular solution thanks to their energy efficiency and modern building appearance.
See also: The European external shading market lost ground in 2024 and expects gradual recovery from 2026
Photo: IC Market Forecast
The European curtain wall market is expected to grow by 1.9% in 2025, reaching 9,229 million euros
European curtain wall market slows decline
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